Original title: Bitcoin's halving could trigger a coup de grâce among miners Relevant research has found that the Bitcoin mining network can be divided into eight levels based on electricity costs. As long as the miners in the first and second levels slack off, they are very likely to suffer a "fatal blow." Author: Akash Girimath Translator: Shark Now, there are less than 46 days left until the Bitcoin block reward halving - and this time, it may be the most anticipated "halving" to date. Because the environment this time is completely different from the previous "halvings". Due to the impact of the new coronavirus epidemic, Bitcoin and traditional financial markets have suffered unprecedented blows, and the status of miners has also been greatly affected. There is no doubt that Bitcoin miners are the most important backbone of the crypto community. Without them, the network will not be able to operate normally. Generally speaking, when miners receive Bitcoin block rewards, they will sell them on the open market and use the cash to pay for mining costs and fees. However, in order to control the flow of Bitcoin into the market, Bitcoin will halve its block rewards every four years. However, due to price fluctuations, Bitcoin miners sometimes make money and sometimes lose money when selling BTC. From this perspective, the price of Bitcoin plays a vital role in determining the health of the mining industry. So, with the latest block reward halving approaching, how will miners react when the price of Bitcoin drops? In fact, some industry insiders believe that Bitcoin miners have remained "strong" in recent times and have not wavered during the price drop. But if the situation changes, some miners could suffer a fatal blow. Bitcoin mining network tiered by electricity cost Blockware Solutions, one of the largest Bitcoin mining machine distributors in North America, recently conducted a study that showed that the upcoming Bitcoin block reward halving event could become a "trigger" that could deal a fatal blow to miners. According to relevant research, the Bitcoin mining network can be divided into several tiers based on electricity costs, after all, electricity costs account for 95% of the costs borne by Bitcoin miners. At this stage, most miners who pay lower electricity costs can still make a profit, and in this case, the demand for these miners to upgrade to new mining equipment is not high. However, miners who pay higher electricity costs have relatively low profits. As shown in the table above, for miners in the first and second tiers, if they choose to upgrade their mining equipment to reduce production costs, based on the current proportion of mining with old equipment on the network, then this approach may not be very beneficial to them. "Next-generation mining equipment" such as Bitmain S17 Pro 50T can provide advantages for miners in the lower tiers, because these new mining equipment can not only bring more computing power, but also consume less electricity, and the competitive advantage is self-evident. As Blockware Solutions puts it, “The computing power of one S17 Pro 50T miner is equivalent to deploying four S9 13.5 T miners.” As new mining equipment comes on the market, the advantages of miners with low electricity costs in the past are gradually disappearing. Therefore, Blockware Solutions' final research conclusion is: after the halving, as long as the third to eighth level miners still use old mining machines, the first and second level miners will continue to maintain their competitive advantage; but if the third to eighth level miners use the "next generation of the latest mining equipment", then the first and second level miners will be forced to replace the new mining machines, and the upcoming block reward halving will accelerate the stimulation of this iteration. In fact, as long as the miners at the first and second levels slack off, they are very likely to suffer a "fatal blow" because mining is closely related to the survival of miners, and the degree of competition is much more intense than other industries. (Original title: Bitcoin's halving could trigger a coup de grâce among miners) |