Despite Bitcoin’s 12% Drop, Reuters Poll Suggests Massive Rally Is Coming

Despite Bitcoin’s 12% Drop, Reuters Poll Suggests Massive Rally Is Coming
Over the past two days, Bitcoin has appeared to be at its most bearish in more than three months.
Cryptocurrencies experienced a major sell-off on Wednesday that lasted until the start of the New York stock trading session the next day. Overall, the BTC/USD pair lost 12 % of its value, falling from $ 11,950 to $ 10,000 .
Its renewed downside sentiment has raised concerns that the plunge will continue to extend, with many expecting $ 9,600 to be the next bearish target.

However, Bitcoin is not an isolated case, and the sudden plunge of this cryptocurrency coincided with similar moves in traditional markets. U.S. stocks also fell sharply on Thursday, with the Nasdaq Composite Index, which is rich in technology stocks, falling more than 5% to 11,458 points, the biggest single-day drop since June 11.

Gold, also a safe-haven asset, has also fallen 3.11% from its one-week high of $1,992.56 per ounce. However, relative to the decline in the U.S. stock market, gold and Bitcoin markets, one asset has risen - the U.S. dollar . The U.S. dollar index strengthened. The benchmark index (TVC: DXY) that measures the U.S. dollar against a basket of foreign currencies jumped from a two-year low earlier this week, and the rebound increased its strength by about 1.15% .

It seems that day traders, rather than investors, have returned to the dollar after evaluating recent U.S. economic growth reports. The country's manufacturing data improved at the beginning of the week, and the weekly adjusted number of unemployment benefit recipients also fell.

Traders take this as a cue to sell their profitable positions in riskier and risk-free markets, and as a result, capital is pumped back into the dollar, strengthening it along the way.


Reuters Launches Bitcoin Poll

A short-term rebound in the U.S. dollar market is not guaranteed to continue over the longer term , at least according to the latest Reuters survey of fiat currencies.

The media mogul surveyed 75 strategists on their forward outlook for the dollar in 2021. Most of them said they expect the dollar to continue to fall as long as the Federal Reserve keeps its benchmark lending rate near zero . On top of that, the U.S. central bank's accommodative approach to inflation will increase the aforementioned downside risks.

The Fed’s policy actions are a major reason for the significant depreciation of the dollar over the last four or five months, ” Lee Hardman, currency economist at MUFG, told Reuters. “So they’ve basically cut rates to zero and that’s compressed the yield differentials in the U.S. versus the rest of the world and that’s obviously helped keep the dollar at such a strong level over the last few years and that’s no longer the case.”

Meanwhile, scarce assets like Bitcoin and gold pose a nemesis to the abundant dollar , with investors hedging against these perceived safe-haven assets as they risk losing the value of their savings due to rising consumer price indexes. The same sentiment has helped gold and Bitcoin prices rise exponentially from their mid-March lows.

The dollar’s ​​recent rebound is more technical than fundamental, a Reuters poll showed, with the result that would leave bitcoin on the same upside bias as it was before this week’s plunge.

The original article comes from bitcoinist and was translated by the Bluemountain Labs team. The English copyright belongs to the original author. Please contact the translator for Chinese reprint.



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