Hype aside, “blockchain” at its core is a software concept similar to a relational database or BitTorrent. Supporters believe that blockchain technology is designed to bring changes to real estate, accounting, securities and other industries. But how should the technology be regulated? More precisely, "Should blockchain be regulated? If so, how?" Lawmakers often try to craft regulations that are “technology neutral.” Indeed, one of the most pressing criticisms of New York’s BitLicense regulations is that it strays from that term. When regulations are created for specific technologies, there is also the risk that rapid innovation will lead to the legal void (e.g. the US Semiconductor Protection Act). The term “blockchain” has only been used for a few years, and no one is confident that this particular iteration of the technology will win out (although some people working on blockchain prediction markets can help in this regard). However, some people still believe that blockchain technology has great development prospects, even if there are very few blockchain applications in the industry at present. A consensus is forming in developed countries that the benefits and costs of blockchain should be accurately analyzed before the government introduces relevant regulations. This analysis is crucial to avoid stifling the desirable changes that blockchain could bring in the name of possible social costs. Blockchain technology may require significant costs in its implementation, but it can also bring huge benefits. A futile effortEven if a convincing case could be made for regulating blockchains, how exactly would one do that? By regulating the code created by coders? The United States’ efforts to regulate cryptocurrencies in the 1990s proved these approaches futile. Focusing on the end rather than the means of blockchain development is a more promising regulatory approach. However, the “ends” of blockchain are too diverse for this to be of much use. Time wasted on developing regulations for blockchain technology means time not being spent on regulating larger societal issues. Bitcoin and Ethereum are the two largest public blockchains in the ecosystem, with a combined global market capitalization of around $10 billion. By comparison, gold trades at $10 trillion per quarter. So regulators have bigger fish to fish for — time spent on blockchains means time wasted on dealing with bigger problems. It may be possible in the futureHowever, this is not to say that blockchain regulation will never be necessary. Blockchain technology may bring huge changes to highly regulated industries in the future, such as securities trading or real estate. If new blockchain technology reduces the number of middlemen (layers) in the industry, then these technological changes may trigger the need for regulatory changes. If blockchain businesses and applications are able to incorporate an intermediate layer of regulatory systems, then there will be a need to consolidate or rethink regulatory schemes to adapt to the new reality. For example, if there is a system that handles land title registration, viewing and transfer, then perhaps a regulator could be merged to oversee that system, since that system completely replaces the functions of the old regulator. Embedding blockchain technology into products and services will create a decentralized world. Current services, jobs and industries will also be transformed by blockchain technology. However, there is no evidence that these changes are clear, urgent or large enough to warrant any form of comprehensive regulation of blockchain technology. Original: http://www.coindesk.com |
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