Editor’s note: The original title is “Ebang International’s Obsession”. Yibang International launches its third attack on the capital market! Yesterday, it was reported that on April 24, Ebang International had submitted a prospectus to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), hoping to raise up to $100 million through an IPO. Ebang International plans to be listed on the New York Stock Exchange or Nasdaq with the stock code EBON. AMTD Global Markets and Loop Capital Markets are the joint bookrunners for the transaction, and did not disclose pricing terms. According to the prospectus of Ebang International, its revenue in 2018 and 2019 was US$319.0 million and US$109.1 million respectively. Its gross profit in 2018 was US$24.4 million, and its gross loss in 2019 was US$30.6 million. Its net losses in 2018 and 2019 were US$11.8 million and US$41.1 million respectively. It is obvious that Ebang's revenue has been decreasing, its losses have been expanding, and its profitability has been decreasing in the past two years. However, compared with Canaan, which loses 1 billion a year, it is still a small matter. The reason why Ebang International's revenue has decreased is not much different from the reason for Canaan's huge losses. It is mainly due to its deep reliance on mining machine-related businesses, which is severely affected by the price of Bitcoin. In the development history of mining machine manufacturers, the status of mining machines is almost unshakable. In 2018 and 2019, Ebang International's mining machine and accessories sales accounted for 96.3% and 82.4% of its revenue, respectively, and the revenue from providing mining machine hosting services accounted for 2.4% and 14.4% of its revenue in 2018 and 2019, respectively. In addition, Ebang International expects that Bitcoin may continue to fluctuate significantly in the future due to the impact of the new coronavirus, which may have a significant adverse impact on its operating performance and financial condition. Currently, the new coronavirus has caused business interruptions and operational disruptions in Ebang International's business. It is worth mentioning that in 2019, overseas business revenue accounted for 12.5% of Ebang International's total revenue, which is still on the rise compared to 8.6% in 2018. The increase in overseas business revenue means that Ebang International's internationalization is increasing, but this brings more challenges and risks to its development. Canaan and Bitmain have both begun to explore artificial intelligence business in addition to mining machine business, in order to diversify the company's business and enhance profitability. Ebang International also stated that it is ready to explore the application of blockchain technology in non-cryptocurrency industries, such as financial services and healthcare industries in the future. 01 Two listings in Hong Kong ended in failureIn fact, the three major domestic mining machine manufacturers have been constantly impacting the traditional capital market, but the road to listing for each company is full of ups and downs. Canaan Creative, also based in Hangzhou, finally went public in the United States last year, which may have given Ebang International some encouragement to firmly go public in the United States. On June 24, 2018, Ebang International submitted its first listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. A month later, the P2P platform Yindou.com was investigated for suspected illegal fundraising. However, Ebang International had large amounts of funds with Yindou.com, and it was revealed that Zhu, a person involved in the Yindou.com case, was a shareholder of Ebang International's parent company. According to media reports at the time, the huge amount of funds was suspected to be used to inflate Yibang International's sales revenue to help it successfully list in Hong Kong. Although Yibang International firmly denied this, Yibang International, which was involved in a huge illegal fund-raising case, had its hopes of listing in Hong Kong dashed. On December 20, 2018, Ebang International submitted a new draft IPO application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange again, and did not give up the attempt to go public. In the submitted prospectus, it can be seen that as of June 30, 2018, Ebang International's revenue exceeded 2.1 billion yuan and its profit was 932 million yuan, which was 8 times that of the same period in 2017. In this regard, the results are very impressive, but the financial situation in the third quarter was not disclosed. Because the crypto industry is in a bear market, Ebang International's financial situation is indeed not optimistic. Six months later, checking the official website of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, Yibang International's listing application had been classified as "invalid", and its listing process ended in failure again. In June 2019, Ebang International stated that it had considered listing in the US market. It was not until Canaan Creative successfully listed in the US that Ebang International announced the news of its upcoming listing in the US shortly afterwards. 02Being low-key doesn't mean you can't avoid lawsuitsCompared with Bitmain and Canaan Creative, Ebang International has always been low-key. Although there has been no internal fighting among the top management, it has not escaped the trouble of litigation. In December 2019, Ebang International was relatively uneasy.First, the two-year unresolved contract dispute between A-share listed company Zhongying Internet and Ebang International over 35,000 mining machines broke out, and the former partners turned into enemies. Ebang International lost a major customer. Zhongying Internet called the police, and the Beijing Chaoyang Public Security Bureau opened an investigation into the suspected contract fraud case of Zhejiang Yibang and Yunnan Yibang; Yibang International in turn reported to the China Securities Regulatory Commission, claiming that Zhongying Internet had false information disclosure issues in terms of the signing date of the sales contract, the amount of a single contract, and the provision for bad debts. One week before receiving the case filing notice, on December 4, Yibang had just released a signal that it would go public in the United States. However, being involved in a criminal dispute will definitely have a significant impact on its listing process. Coincidentally, at the end of the month, it was reported that Yibang International formally sued VeriSilicon Microelectronics, a chip company invested by Xiaomi, claiming that the 10nm Samsung wafers provided by the other party had quality problems, causing losses of about 175 million yuan. With two lawsuits, Yibang International's road to going public in the United States is still not easy. Before this, Yibang International was also involved in huge lawsuits. In December 2017, Yibang International sold a mining machine worth 13 million yuan to a customer, but due to the discrepancy between delivery time, product performance and product specifications, it was sued by the customer for a total amount of 53.9 million yuan. 03 Will Ebang be the next “Canaan”?If we talk about the successful listing, we all hope that Ebang International will be the next Canaan; but based on Canaan's performance after the listing, no one expects it to become a copy of Canaan.Canaan successfully landed on the Nasdaq as the first mining machine manufacturer, but was severely beaten by the market. It broke the issue price on the first day of listing and was almost halved in less than a month. According to Canaan’s latest financial report, in the fourth quarter of 2019, that is, after listing, the net loss reached US$114.7 million. As the "first blockchain concept stock", Canaan urgently needs to prove its sustainable profitability after its listing. However, in the past few months since its listing, Canaan's efforts in the field of AI chips do not seem to be very successful, and mining machine-related business revenue still accounts for the vast majority of its revenue. Canaan's performance will also affect the capital market's valuation of other mining machine manufacturers to a certain extent, which does not seem to be good news for Ebang International. As a mining machine manufacturer, it has been proven that transformation is not easy. Looking at the development of Bitmain and Canaan Creative into AI business, they are still telling the same story. In the short term, neither company will change its business line mainly based on mining machine sales. Relying solely on the revenue growth brought by the sales of mining machines, once the price of Bitcoin crashes or the crypto industry enters a bear market, this is no longer a story with much room for imagination. Continuing to develop new businesses is something that mining machine manufacturers must consider. As for the specific future direction, no one can give a correct answer. Although the company failed twice in its road to listing in Hong Kong and was hit by a series of negative news involving lawsuits during the preparation for the listing, with Canaan's successful experience in listing in the United States, good news for Ebang International should not be far away. We only hope that Ebang International's performance after its successful listing will be eye-catching, rather than being brought back to square one in an instant after listing. If Ebang International also successfully goes public, will Bitmain be far behind? |
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