The Force Research | The “Lending Wave” Behind Filecoin Mortgage

The Force Research | The “Lending Wave” Behind Filecoin Mortgage
This article was originally written by IPFS Force Zone
On August 20, 2020, the Supreme People's Court issued the newly revised "Regulations on Several Issues Concerning the Application of Law in the Trial of Private Lending Cases" and implemented it immediately. According to the latest version of the "Regulations" announced by the central bank on August 20, the upper limit of lending interest rates should be adjusted to four times the monthly quoted rate (LPR). The judicial protection upper limit of private lending interest rates at that time will be adjusted to 15.4% based on the LPR announced on July 20. The main interpretations are as follows:
  • The original law stipulated that 24% interest rate was the upper limit of judicial protection, but now this standard has been lowered;

  • The state controls private lending through macro-control, which to a certain extent limits the profiteering behavior of private lending.

The domestic supervision of private lending has been strengthened, reducing the range of reasonable lending. So what is the current status of DeFi development, and how will Filecoin develop?
1. DeFi lending market status: from prosperity to decline
The craze for DeFi liquidity mining has gradually subsided, and the high interest rates of DeFi lending mining have returned to calm. According to DeBank data, the total amount of locked positions on Ethereum is currently 14.91 billion US dollars, and the average annual deposit and loan interest rate of mainstream DeFi projects is 2.63%, and the annual loan interest rate is 3.80%. Currently, it is mainly for some users who hoard coins to participate in deposits. However, there are also some projects with higher interest rates. The token risk of this block itself is relatively high, and it does not fall into the scope of reasonable investment considerations.
Annual lending rates of mainstream DeFi projects, source: DeBank, 2020-11-09
The current status of the DeFi lending market:
  • Many lending projects in the market do not have real landing scenarios. In March this year, Compound triggered a craze for DeFi liquidity mining, which resulted in a short-lived wave of 100-fold returns. Many blockchain projects followed suit, but due to the lack of sufficient application scenarios and target users, they were ultimately short-lived.

  • Putting the cart before the horse: high-yield lending has degenerated into a speculative craze. Many tokens derived from the lending market have seen their prices plummet due to insufficient incremental lending in the subsequent market, and their returns of a thousand times have dropped in an instant, returning to their original form;

  • Innovative application of machine gun pool. The DeFi craze has spawned an innovative product "machine gun pool", such as YFI and YFII. The machine gun pool is similar to the GP in the investment field. Its main function is to collect more funds in the market and make more advantageous mining investment behaviors with a large volume.

So, how will the Filecoin lending market perform under the current DeFi lending market conditions?
2. The hot Filecoin market and the unstoppable mortgage trend
On October 15, after the launch of the Filecoin mainnet, the market has been in short supply of FIL because of its storage mortgage application scenario. In order to meet the mortgage needs of miners, CoinList, Binance, Huobi, and Codefi have opened lending channels. How does the FIL lending mortgage market work?
1) Annual income of compliant CoinList: 12%
CoinList is Filecoin's compliant fundraising platform, so all the FIL raised comes from CoinList, which itself has a large number of investment groups. The following are the published lending terms open from October 20th to 24th.
CoinList loan terms, source: CoinList, 2020-10-20
CoinList’s lending terms are relatively strict, mainly including the following points:
  • The loan period is 3 months and the fixed return is 3%. CoinList stipulates that the loan period is 3 months, there is no flexible time period to choose from, and it cannot be terminated early. The annual return on FIL deposits in CoinLits is 12%, that is, the return for the three months is 3%;

  • Over-collateralization of 125%. All borrowers must guarantee 125% of the loan collateral, and the collateral is mainly mainstream crypto assets such as BTC, ETH and USD. If the collateral price is insufficient, additional collateral is required;

  • Open lending platform. CoinList adopts an open lending method for borrowers. After the application is submitted through the platform and approved, the funds will be issued.

2) Huobi’s innovative HFIL annual return: more than 400%
Huobi exchanges FIL for HFIL at a 1:1 ratio, and then uses HFIL for lending. Currently, HFIL has been used as collateral for lending of 20,000 FIL, about 620,000 US dollars. The following are the features of HFIL:
Source: Huobi, 2020-11-10
  • Huobi endorses HFIL. As the acceptor of HFIL, Huobi guarantees that the redeemed FIL can be withdrawn at any time;

  • Huobi partners as distributors. Huobi has expanded HFIL lending through some deep partners, including Uniswap, Curve, Balancer, Nest, ForTube, etc. Taking ForTube as an example, it has lent more than 4,000 HFIL, with an annual deposit interest rate of nearly 400%. However, the author observed that the amount of the loan has not changed much for many days, and whether there are a large number of real borrowers is worth further investigation;

Source: fortube, 2020-11-10
  • HFIL has greatly activated the liquidity of the market with the help of Ethereum to a certain extent. Filecoin originally planned to open a decentralized lending platform based on Ethereum and Filecoin, but because cross-chain technology is difficult to achieve in the short term, Huobi uses HFIL on Ethereum for exchange. This behavior continues the concept of Protocol Labs to a certain extent. At the same time, Ethereum has a large customer base, which is more convenient for the development of HFIL lending activities.

3) Binance current account annual yield: 6.7%
As the second largest exchange in terms of FIL wallet addresses, Binance did not add FIL to the lending section, but chose to earn interest on deposits. The income from this part is relatively low, and the following are two points of summary:
  • The operation of FIL on Binance is simpler. FIL on Binance is flexible, with an annual interest rate of 6.7%, which is equivalent to a bank current deposit, that is, you can get interest income every day and withdraw cash at any time;

Source: Binance, 2020-11-10
  • The interest rate difference between different platforms is large, and there is room for profit. At present, the circulation of FIL is small, and the demand for lending is large, resulting in a large difference in lending interest rates in the market, and there is a certain profit space between different platforms.

Cross-chain Codefi annual income: 7.01%
ConsenSys Codefi completes market lending by implementing cross-chain between Filecoin and Ethereum. The bridging service of the decentralized cross-chain solution is supported by Ren Protocol. According to the official website of Ren Protocol, Filecoin lending has not yet been opened. The following is the annualized return of the previous deposit of 7.01% shown in the ConsenSys Codefi blog (October 1).
Source: codefi.consensys.net, 2020-10-01
Which one is more suitable for FIL lending income?
Based on the service comparison of the above four FIL lending platforms, there are many different lending methods, annual interest rates, and income methods. However, I believe that in addition to the primary consideration of interest rates, risks must also be considered. The main points are as follows:
Source: IPFS Force Zone, 2020-11-10
  • Decentralization vs. Centralization: Is the interest rate freely priced? The author believes that in addition to asset ownership being guaranteed on the chain, free interest rates are also a way of presenting DeFi. ForTube matches HFIL lending in the form of over-collateralization through the introduction of decentralized wallets. For decentralized lending, its market depth and user demand are still uncertain factors;

  • Different storage cycles: Risk and return are positively correlated. Some lending activities may have a regular commitment cycle, and in the event of a major market situation, the funds may not be converted into cash in a short period of time. On the other hand, demand deposits are relatively easy to operate, but the returns are relatively low;

  • An annual lending rate of less than 20% is more reasonable. Many platforms provide FIL lending services, and most of the annual lending rates are less than 20%. If the annual interest rate is higher than this standard, the security of the platform needs to be considered.

In general, whether it is the lender or the borrower, it is reasonable for the platform to set the interest rate. The blockchain is still in the development stage, and there is a situation of supply exceeding demand in the market. Freely agreed lending behavior is naturally surging. For both parties, risk control management must be carried out to deal with emergencies.

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