In-depth analysis of the popular project Chia Network

In-depth analysis of the popular project Chia Network

1. Project Introduction

Chia Network is a cryptocurrency project founded by BitTorrent founder Bram Cohen in 2017. It is positioned as a green and environmentally friendly cryptocurrency. It also stated that it would develop an improved blockchain and smart trading platform and deploy enterprise-level applications.

Chia has developed its own smart contract programming language Chialisp. Its biggest advantage is that it retains the "UTXO model" while adding the general functions of the "Ethereum Solidity model", thereby achieving more powerful functions, such as multi-signature and atomic swaps, authorized payee wallets, transfer recovery, limit wallets, paper wallets with delayed recovery functions, digital identity wallets, and Chia Color Coins (equivalent to ERC20).

Unlike Bitcoin and Ethereum, Chia is a "dual-coin-stock architecture". In addition to the decentralized blockchain network Chia Network, there is also a centralized for-profit company Chia Network Inc., which was registered in Delaware on August 1, 2017 and was founded by Bram Cohen, the inventor of BitTorrent. There are currently 21 full-time employees and full-time equivalent contractors, as well as 15 part-time consultants. 16 employees are mainly focused on research and development activities, and 5 employees/contractors are focused on the company's management and implementation of its business plan. The company has a clear plan to go public in the United States.

On March 18, 2021, Chia officially released the Chia 1.0 mainnet. The token is XCH, and mining (farm) activities have been opened.

2. Consensus Mechanism

Chia Network’s blockchain relies on a new Nakamoto consensus algorithm called Proof of Space and Proof of Time.

Proof of Space: Think of proof of space as a way to prove that you are not using some storage on your hard drive. Users of the Chia blockchain will "seed" (plot) unused space on their hard drives by installing software that stores a set of encrypted numbers on the disk as a "password". These users are called "farmers". When the blockchain broadcasts the challenge for the next block, farmers can scan their plots to see if they have the closest hash to the challenge. The probability of a farmer winning a plot is the percentage of the total space that the farmer holds across the entire network.

Proof of Time: Proof of Time is achieved with a verifiable delay function that takes a fixed amount of time to compute but is fast to verify. The key idea of ​​VDFs is that they need to be computed sequentially, and since having many parallel machines does not yield any benefit, this minimizes the waste of electricity. There can be relatively few VDF servers ("Timelords"), since the fastest ones will always come first, and it only takes one fast and fair Timelord on the network to finalize a block and move the chain forward.

In order to mine Chia, you first need to create one or more "plots", which are files that take up space on your hard drive, a process known as "P-disk".

The space used by the plot is denoted by the letter k. Creating a plot takes some time and CPU power. The larger the value of k, the larger the plot and the longer it takes to create. Once the plot is created, there is no difference between one k and another except for the file size.

Plots can be moved from one machine to another without any restrictions. Some people build dedicated plotting machines that are optimized to perform the plotting process quickly and then move the plots to less powerful machines for acquisition.

Like Bitcoin, the difficulty of work on the Chia network's blockchain is also dynamically adjusted, so the target time for 32 blocks to be completed is an average of 10 minutes. Not every block is a transaction block, and it is expected that there will be 9 to 14 transaction blocks every 10 minutes. Transaction blocks will have transaction fee income.

Token Model

Pre-mining: 21 million, as strategic reserve (controlled by the board of directors)

Total amount: No upper limit

Halving rule: 64 XCH will be released every 10 minutes initially, which will be halved every 3 years. After it is reduced to 4 XCH every 10 minutes (in the 13th year), it will remain unchanged.

Mining will start on March 18 when the mainnet goes online. Trading will not be possible in the first 6 weeks, and transfers will be possible on April 29. By then, there will be about 390,000 XCH in circulation.

IV. Board of Directors and Strategic Reserves

According to the Chia business white paper, 21 million XCH tokens will be controlled by the company's board of directors as a strategic reserve. "We intend to have a 5-member board of directors consisting of 3 external directors. Currently, our board of directors consists of three members: Bram Cohen, Gene Hoffman, and Chuck Stoops (independent director)."

Chia explained the purpose of the XCH token as a strategic reserve:

  • These restrictions may not be changed without a majority vote of the board of directors, which must include at least one independent director.
  • Once the two board vacancies are filled, the board is expected to raise the approval threshold to require a majority vote from outside directors as well.
  • These controls require changes and will not be implemented without at least 90 days of public notice, which will be made on the company website, Keybase channels, and/or other similar highly visible methods.
  • The Company does not intend to distribute Chia Coins or dividend coins to shareholders or use coins to repurchase equity until we become a reporting company under the 1933 Act and the 1394 Act.
5. Valuation
1. Company valuation
Chia's business white paper disclosed that "since its inception, the company has raised approximately $16 million in funds through SAFE agreements. These funds are mainly divided into three rounds, with three different standard price caps and conversion functions. The last round of financing of $5 million was completed in August 2020. No investor has been promised chia as a return on investment. Certain investors have redemption rights, and if the company does not list the equity for public trading within the above-mentioned specific time period, it will be denominated at the then-current price of the Chia coin. The company expects to convert these SAFEs into equity or preferred equity and does not intend to provide XCH to investors before the company's equity registration statement becomes effective." Investors include Slow Ventures, Naval Ravikant, Breyer Capital, Collaborative Fund, IDEO Colab, a16z Crypto, True Ventures, Galaxy Digital, Cygni Capital, Greylock Partners, DCM, Metastable, StillMark Capital and Kamal Ravikant. The company expects to achieve revenue and build shareholder value mainly through the following ways:
  • Provide installation, development, ongoing service and support for the use of Chia Coin, Chialisp and Chia Smart Coin in commerce, and issue assets using Chia Colored Coins.
  • Provide installation, development, ongoing service and support for the use of Chia Coin, Chialisp and Chia Smart Coin in commerce, and issue assets using Chia Colored Coins.
  • Earn interest on Chia loans for market makers, governments, financial institutions, businesses and developers to use in their daily operations.
Regarding the company's equity structure and valuation, Chia's business white paper disclosed:
“We discuss our pro forma capital structure based on an assumed pre-money valuation of $250,000,000.00 at the next round of capital raise. The percentages below do not take into account the dilution that would result from a future pre-money valuation. We include in our calculations all issued and outstanding restricted stock awards, options or warrants to acquire shares of Chia Network as if fully vested, but exclude shares reserved for further stock awards that have not yet been issued.
No single shareholder will own more than 50.0% of the Company. As a group, investors will own 35.1% of the Company’s outstanding shares. No single investor or fund may own more than 10% of the Company’s outstanding shares. Mr. Cohen will own approximately 47.4%, which includes his founder’s equity and his subsequent investment of cash in the safe (on a discounted basis).”
2. Token Valuation
One year after launch, the total issuance will be 24.36 million XCH (including strategic reserves). Here are several valuation standards for reference.

Chia tokens are not yet in circulation, but major exchanges have expressed interest in this project early on. In September 2019, Coinbase announced that chia is one of the seventeen assets they are currently considering for inclusion after the launch of these assets. In September 2020, Bitstamp announced that chia is one of the digital assets they are exploring support for.
3. Mining income
Since the launch of the Chia mainnet one month ago, the computing power has grown steadily. As of April 18, 2021, the computing power of the Chia mainnet was 333PiB, with a peak of 373PiB.
After Chia mining started, the price of hard disks rose. Based on the current market cost and computing power, for XCH prices in the range of $10-50, the estimated payback period is as follows:
Risk Warning:
1. The computing power of the entire network continues to grow, and the mining competition becomes more intense, which will also lead to a longer payback period for each computing power;
2. The price of hard disks has doubled in one month. If the cost continues to rise, the payback period per unit of computing power will also be longer.
3. Depending on the machine configuration, the time for P disk varies from 20 to 70 days, and the capital occupied during the P disk process must also be considered.
At present, the Chia mining craze is mainly driven by short-term speculative sentiment, and the long-term value of the project remains to be tested. If XCH can be listed on mainstream exchanges, it must be because retail investors have high FOM sentiment. In addition, if the overall market goes down, the valuation of XCH tokens will also be adjusted down, which will also have an important impact on mining returns.

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