Is the 2025 bull market the last chance for retail investors?

Is the 2025 bull market the last chance for retail investors?

Is the possible 25-year bull market the last chance for retail investors?

At yesterday’s gathering, professional trader Rocky @Rocky_Bitcoin raised this question. His reasoning was:

The entry of professional investment institutions such as BlackRock will lead to the launch of more and more derivatives, which are used by professional players for arbitrage.

It will inevitably flatten the volatility of the underlying asset. In short, in the future, BTC and other assets may become like U.S. stocks, with volatility and gains likely to be significantly reduced.

My thoughts are:

1. As the volume of BTC increases, the increase is indeed getting smaller and smaller. For example, the last bull market was only 3.5 times higher from the high of 20,000 in 2017 to the high of 69,000 in 2021;

The highest point in 2013 was $1,000, and the price increased 20 times from 2013 to 2017.

So how many times should the 21- or possibly 25-year bull market be?

Furthermore, not many people made profits from mainstream coins in the last bull market. The most obvious thing is that it has become extremely difficult to make profits from regular investments, and many people who made regular investments lost money.

Personally, my biggest profit is not from the increase in assets but from arbitrage from new listings.

Therefore, I am prepared for the possibility that the last bull market in the next 25 years may be the last one. Faced with the few possible opportunities, how can I make the last big profit?

Although there is no chance to make money at this stage, it is quite important because smart players are preparing:

For example, the increase of capital, the accumulation of resources, and the improvement of money-making tools.

Last time, Ms. O @sensonlau organized a web3 study tour. She said that what she felt most deeply this time was that the web3 study tour in the last bear market was all about making money for individuals, while this study tour was all about "how to set up a studio", "how to join your studio", and "how to cooperate".

The difficulty for retail investors to make money has changed from Easy to Hard, so what about four years later?

2. The current price of BTC may be at a relative low. @Rocky_Bitcoin reminds us that the bottom of BTC is constantly being raised. The most intuitive data shows that the current price is in the bottom-fishing range of the "Nine Gods Index".

At yesterday's gathering, everyone said that their confidence was stronger when the index was at 18,000, but now their confidence has been worn away.

The final conclusion is that many people believe that the bull market has already begun (BTC has passed its lowest point and has started to rise on the right side).

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